TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München - Halftime Result
Volume:
$23,517
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the halftime result of the Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München Champions League match scheduled for March 10, 2026. Markets track whether Atalanta leads, Bayern leads, or the teams are tied after 45 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market design contains a logical contradiction: all three mutually exclusive halftime outcomes (Atalanta win, Bayern win, Tie) are programmed to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses three independent binary markets with coherent Yes/No logic.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi contracts entirely. This market cannot be settled fairly because every possible outcome triggers the same resolution. Use Polymarket's three separate binary markets instead, which have clear, independent resolution criteria.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Market structure is logically contradictory. All three mutually exclusive outcomes (Atalanta winner, Bayern winner, Tie) are programmed to resolve to Yes. Quote: If Atalanta wins, Yes. If Bayern wins, Yes. If Tie, Yes. This means the market cannot distinguish between outcomes and is unresolvable.
- Polymarket: Three independent binary markets with coherent logic. Draw at halftime resolves Yes if tied, No otherwise. Atalanta leading resolves Yes if Atalanta wins first half, No otherwise. Bayern leading resolves Yes if Bayern wins first half, No otherwise. Quote: If the game ends in a draw within the first 45 minutes, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, No.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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