TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$129,159,707

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,442,132,418

404,744

Markets across

30,489

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,691

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München
polymarket
kalshi

Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München

Volume:
$7,004,570

FC Bayern München

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 11, 2026

Closed: Mar 10, 4:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

FC Bayern München

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,614,632
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Bayern Munich

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,628,179
N/A
N/A
$1,326,236
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Atalanta BC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$281,315
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Atalanta

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$252,834
N/A
N/A
$172,822
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$132,645
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$94,964
N/A
N/A
$76,134
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a professional Champions League soccer match between Atalanta BC and FC Bayern München scheduled for March 10, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are predicting the outcome after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with three distinct binary outcomes: Bayern Munich win, Atalanta win, or draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms (Polymarket and Kalshi) apply identical resolution logic: match outcome determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations across all three outcome markets.Primary resolution logic: UEFA official match statistics; if unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible consensus reporting from major sports news outlets

Core resolution logic:

  • Bayern Munich win market resolves Yes if Bayern wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; No otherwise
  • Atalanta win market resolves Yes if Atalanta wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; No otherwise
  • Draw market resolves Yes if match ends in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; No otherwise
  • Resolution scope explicitly excludes extra time and penalty shootouts
  • If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed
  • If match is canceled with no make-up game scheduled, Bayern and Atalanta win markets resolve No; draw market resolves Yes

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the match is played on the rescheduled date
  • Cancellation without make-up: Bayern/Atalanta win markets resolve No; draw market resolves Yes
  • Extra time or penalties: Resolution is based solely on the 90-minute result plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty outcomes are excluded
  • Source delay: If UEFA does not publish official statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible consensus reporting may be used as fallback
Timing: Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time). If official statistics are not available within 2 hours, resolution may be delayed pending credible consensus reporting.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.