TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München
Volume:
$7,004,570
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Champions League soccer match between Atalanta BC and FC Bayern München scheduled for March 10, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are predicting the outcome after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with three distinct binary outcomes: Bayern Munich win, Atalanta win, or draw.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms (Polymarket and Kalshi) apply identical resolution logic: match outcome determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations across all three outcome markets.
Primary resolution logic:
UEFA official match statistics; if unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible consensus reporting from major sports news outletsCore resolution logic:
- Bayern Munich win market resolves Yes if Bayern wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; No otherwise
- Atalanta win market resolves Yes if Atalanta wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; No otherwise
- Draw market resolves Yes if match ends in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; No otherwise
- Resolution scope explicitly excludes extra time and penalty shootouts
- If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed
- If match is canceled with no make-up game scheduled, Bayern and Atalanta win markets resolve No; draw market resolves Yes
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the match is played on the rescheduled date
- Cancellation without make-up: Bayern/Atalanta win markets resolve No; draw market resolves Yes
- Extra time or penalties: Resolution is based solely on the 90-minute result plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty outcomes are excluded
- Source delay: If UEFA does not publish official statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible consensus reporting may be used as fallback
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time). If official statistics are not available within 2 hours, resolution may be delayed pending credible consensus reporting.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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