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Aston Villa FC vs. West Ham United FC - Halftime Result
kalshi
polymarket

Aston Villa FC vs. West Ham United FC - Halftime Result

Volume:
$21,973

Aston Villa FC

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 22, 2026

Closed: Mar 22, 10:15 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Aston Villa FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13,756
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Aston Villa

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,374
N/A
N/A
$3,356
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,860
N/A
N/A
$2,753
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$359
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

West Ham

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,434
N/A
N/A
$1,422
Settled
No
polymarket

West Ham United FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$190
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the halftime result of the Aston Villa FC vs. West Ham United FC match scheduled for March 22, 2026 in the English Premier League. Markets assess whether Aston Villa leads, West Ham leads, or the teams are tied after 45 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market design contains a logical contradiction: all three possible halftime outcomes are mapped to Yes, making the market non-falsifiable and unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures three mutually exclusive binary markets.Hero tip: Do not trade or rely on Kalshi's market for this event group. Use only Polymarket's three separate binary markets (Aston Villa leading, Draw, West Ham leading), which have proper Yes/No resolution logic. Kalshi's market cannot distinguish between outcomes and should be flagged as broken.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Market structure maps all three possible halftime outcomes (Aston Villa win, tie, West Ham win) to Yes resolution. This creates a tautology where the market always resolves Yes regardless of actual match result. Quote: 'If Aston Villa is the winner... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result... then the market resolves to Yes. If West Ham is the winner... then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes: (1) Aston Villa leading at halftime resolves Yes only if Aston Villa leads, No otherwise; (2) Draw at halftime resolves Yes only if tied, No otherwise; (3) West Ham leading resolves Yes only if West Ham leads, No otherwise. Exactly one market resolves Yes per match outcome.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.