TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Aston Villa FC vs. West Ham United FC - Halftime Result
Volume:
$21,973
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the halftime result of the Aston Villa FC vs. West Ham United FC match scheduled for March 22, 2026 in the English Premier League. Markets assess whether Aston Villa leads, West Ham leads, or the teams are tied after 45 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market design contains a logical contradiction: all three possible halftime outcomes are mapped to Yes, making the market non-falsifiable and unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures three mutually exclusive binary markets.Hero Tip:
Do not trade or rely on Kalshi's market for this event group. Use only Polymarket's three separate binary markets (Aston Villa leading, Draw, West Ham leading), which have proper Yes/No resolution logic. Kalshi's market cannot distinguish between outcomes and should be flagged as broken.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Market structure maps all three possible halftime outcomes (Aston Villa win, tie, West Ham win) to Yes resolution. This creates a tautology where the market always resolves Yes regardless of actual match result. Quote: 'If Aston Villa is the winner... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result... then the market resolves to Yes. If West Ham is the winner... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes: (1) Aston Villa leading at halftime resolves Yes only if Aston Villa leads, No otherwise; (2) Draw at halftime resolves Yes only if tied, No otherwise; (3) West Ham leading resolves Yes only if West Ham leads, No otherwise. Exactly one market resolves Yes per match outcome.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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