TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Arsenal WFC vs. Chelsea FC
Volume:
$962,741
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Women's Champions League game, scheduled for Tuesday, March 24, 2026 between Arsenal WFC and Chelsea FC.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market rules contain a logical contradiction: all three outcomes (Arsenal win, Chelsea win, Tie) resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures three separate binary markets (Arsenal Win, Chelsea Win, Draw) with mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. Its resolution rules are contradictory—it claims all three possible match outcomes resolve to Yes, which is logically impossible. Polymarket's three separate markets are the only reliable way to bet on this match outcome.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Contains a critical logical error. The market states 'If Arsenal wins...then resolves to Yes' AND 'If Chelsea wins...then resolves to Yes' AND 'If Tie wins...then resolves to Yes.' This means every possible outcome resolves to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Quote: 'If Arsenal wins the Arsenal vs Chelsea professional Champions League Womens soccer game originally scheduled for Mar 24, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Chelsea wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Provides three separate, mutually exclusive binary markets—one for Arsenal Win (Yes/No), one for Chelsea Win (Yes/No), and one for Draw (Yes/No). Each market has proper resolution logic where only one outcome per market can occur. Quote: 'If Chelsea FC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' and separately 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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