TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Arsenal WFC vs. Chelsea FC
kalshi
polymarket

Arsenal WFC vs. Chelsea FC

Volume:
$962,741

Arsenal

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 25, 2026

Closed: Mar 24, 7:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Arsenal

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$438,837
N/A
N/A
$277,940
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Arsenal WFC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$32,795
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chelsea

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$290,547
N/A
N/A
$188,888
Settled
No
polymarket

Chelsea FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,168
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$172,603
N/A
N/A
$88,708
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Arsenal WFC vs. Chelsea FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,792
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Women's Champions League game, scheduled for Tuesday, March 24, 2026 between Arsenal WFC and Chelsea FC.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market rules contain a logical contradiction: all three outcomes (Arsenal win, Chelsea win, Tie) resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures three separate binary markets (Arsenal Win, Chelsea Win, Draw) with mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi market. Its resolution rules are contradictory—it claims all three possible match outcomes resolve to Yes, which is logically impossible. Polymarket's three separate markets are the only reliable way to bet on this match outcome.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Contains a critical logical error. The market states 'If Arsenal wins...then resolves to Yes' AND 'If Chelsea wins...then resolves to Yes' AND 'If Tie wins...then resolves to Yes.' This means every possible outcome resolves to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Quote: 'If Arsenal wins the Arsenal vs Chelsea professional Champions League Womens soccer game originally scheduled for Mar 24, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Chelsea wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Provides three separate, mutually exclusive binary markets—one for Arsenal Win (Yes/No), one for Chelsea Win (Yes/No), and one for Draw (Yes/No). Each market has proper resolution logic where only one outcome per market can occur. Quote: 'If Chelsea FC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' and separately 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.