TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC - Halftime Result
Volume:
$63,927
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group captures the halftime result of the Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC match scheduled for April 25, 2026 in the English Premier League. The markets resolve based on which team is leading after 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, or whether the score is tied at that point.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market resolves YES for all three possible outcomes (Arsenal win, Newcastle win, or draw), making it logically incoherent and fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket offers three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive resolution logic.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi entirely—the market is broken by design. On Polymarket, exactly one of the three markets (Arsenal leading, Newcastle leading, or draw) will resolve YES; the other two resolve NO. Bet only on Polymarket for this event group.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: All three conditions resolve to YES: 'If Newcastle is the winner... then resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result... then resolves to Yes. If Arsenal is the winner... then resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility—the market cannot simultaneously resolve YES for mutually exclusive outcomes.
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes. Arsenal leading resolves YES only if Arsenal wins the first half; Newcastle leading resolves YES only if Newcastle wins; draw resolves YES only if the halftime score is tied. Exactly one market resolves YES, the other two resolve NO.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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