Arsenal FC vs Manchester City FC

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Core resolution logic:

• Market resolves based on the outcome of the match after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties).
• Three mutually exclusive outcomes are possible: Arsenal wins, Manchester City wins, or the match ends in a draw.
• Kalshi has three separate YES/NO markets (one for each outcome); Polymarket has three separate YES/NO markets (one for each outcome).
• Exactly one outcome will resolve YES across all markets in the group; the other two resolve NO.
• If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
• If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, Kalshi markets resolve YES (all three outcomes are covered), and Polymarket's draw market resolves YES while win markets resolve NO.

Edge cases & Clarifications:

• Match Postponement: If the match is postponed beyond March 22, 2026, both platforms keep markets open until the rescheduled match is completed. Resolution occurs on the actual match date, not the original scheduled date.
• Match Cancellation Without Rescheduling: If the EFL cancels the match entirely with no make-up game, Kalshi's three markets all resolve YES (since all possible outcomes are covered by the cancellation clause). Polymarket's draw market resolves YES; Arsenal and Manchester City win markets resolve NO.
• Resolution Source Timing: Both platforms use official EFL statistics as the primary source. If official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion, both platforms fall back to consensus of credible reporting (e.g., major sports news outlets).