TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Arsenal FC vs Manchester City FC
kalshi
polymarket

Arsenal FC vs Manchester City FC

Volume:
$5,924,297

Manchester City

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 22, 2026

Closed: Mar 22, 3:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Manchester City

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,008,634
N/A
N/A
$605,471
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Manchester City FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$652,739
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Arsenal

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,761,637
N/A
N/A
$1,493,277
Settled
No
polymarket

Arsenal FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,742,589
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$521,696
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$237,002
N/A
N/A
$170,986
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event is for the upcoming EFL Cup (Carabao Cup) game, scheduled for Sunday, March 22, 2026 between Arsenal FC and Manchester City FC.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Kalshi and Polymarket resolve based on the official outcome of the Arsenal vs Manchester City EFL Cup match scheduled for March 22, 2026, considering only the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with the same primary resolution source (official governing body or credible reporting consensus).Primary resolution logic: Official EFL (English Football League) statistics and match records, or credible reporting consensus if official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.

Core resolution logic:

  • Market resolves based on the outcome of the match after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties).
  • Three mutually exclusive outcomes are possible: Arsenal wins, Manchester City wins, or the match ends in a draw.
  • Kalshi has three separate YES/NO markets (one for each outcome); Polymarket has three separate YES/NO markets (one for each outcome).
  • Exactly one outcome will resolve YES across all markets in the group; the other two resolve NO.
  • If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
  • If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, Kalshi markets resolve YES (all three outcomes are covered), and Polymarket's draw market resolves YES while win markets resolve NO.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Match Postponement: If the match is postponed beyond March 22, 2026, both platforms keep markets open until the rescheduled match is completed. Resolution occurs on the actual match date, not the original scheduled date.
  • Match Cancellation Without Rescheduling: If the EFL cancels the match entirely with no make-up game, Kalshi's three markets all resolve YES (since all possible outcomes are covered by the cancellation clause). Polymarket's draw market resolves YES; Arsenal and Manchester City win markets resolve NO.
  • Resolution Source Timing: Both platforms use official EFL statistics as the primary source. If official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion, both platforms fall back to consensus of credible reporting (e.g., major sports news outlets).
Timing: Resolution occurs upon official publication of the final match result by the EFL or, if unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion, upon establishment of credible reporting consensus. Markets remain open if the match is postponed and close only after the match is completed and the outcome is officially confirmed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.