TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks
Volume:
$296,938
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball game between Arkansas State Red Wolves and Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spreads at -14.5 and -15.5, and total points over/under 164.5.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical tautology: it resolves Yes if either team wins, which covers all possible outcomes and makes the market fundamentally unresolvable to No. This is a data integrity failure that prevents proper settlement.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market until the logic is corrected. Rely on Polymarket's clearly defined moneyline, spread, and total markets for this game. Confirm Kalshi's actual market language directly on their platform.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Five distinct markets with clear binary outcomes: (1) Moneyline resolves to winning team name; (2) Spread -14.5 resolves to Arkansas State if they win by 15+, else Louisiana-Monroe; (3) O/U 164.5 resolves Over if combined score is 165+, else Under; (4) Spread -15.5 resolves to Arkansas State if they win by 16+, else Louisiana-Monroe; (5) All markets remain open if postponed and resolve 50-50 if canceled with no makeup. Key Quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.'
- Kalshi: Single market with contradictory resolution logic: 'If Louisiana-Monroe wins...then resolves to Yes. If Arkansas St. wins...then resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where the market cannot resolve to No under any circumstance. Key Quote: Both winning conditions resolve to Yes, covering all possible game outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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