TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns
Volume:
$463,759
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Arkansas State Red Wolves and Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns scheduled for February 19, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), point spread (-7.5 and -8.5), and over/under totals (143.5, 144.5, and 145.5 points). Resolution depends on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Louisiana win and Arkansas State win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's equivalent moneyline market is logically sound.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline for this matchup—it cannot be resolved as written. Polymarket's moneyline, all spread markets, and all totals markets across both platforms are logically consistent and safe to trade. Wait for Kalshi to correct the market logic before engaging.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states: 'If Louisiana wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Arkansas St. wins...resolves to Yes.' This is a logical contradiction—both outcomes cannot both resolve Yes. No valid No outcome exists.
- Polymarket: Moneyline market clearly states: 'If Arkansas State wins, resolve to Arkansas State Red Wolves. If Louisiana wins, resolve to Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns.' Mutually exclusive outcomes. Spread and totals markets are also logically consistent with clear thresholds and tie-breaking rules.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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