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$134.2b

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$1,442,132,418

404,744

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30,489

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,691

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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61%

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Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns
kalshi
polymarket

Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns

Volume:
$463,759

Arkansas St.

 - Kalshi

Arkansas St. - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 20, 2026

Closed: Feb 19, 11:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Arkansas St.

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$174,459
N/A
N/A
$120,796
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Louisiana

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$262,313
N/A
N/A
$187,498
Settled
No
polymarket

Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$22,343
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -8.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,916
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -7.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$699
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 143.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$421
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 144.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$387
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 145.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$221
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 8

Description

This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Arkansas State Red Wolves and Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns scheduled for February 19, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), point spread (-7.5 and -8.5), and over/under totals (143.5, 144.5, and 145.5 points). Resolution depends on the final score including overtime.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Louisiana win and Arkansas State win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's equivalent moneyline market is logically sound.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline for this matchup—it cannot be resolved as written. Polymarket's moneyline, all spread markets, and all totals markets across both platforms are logically consistent and safe to trade. Wait for Kalshi to correct the market logic before engaging.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline market states: 'If Louisiana wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Arkansas St. wins...resolves to Yes.' This is a logical contradiction—both outcomes cannot both resolve Yes. No valid No outcome exists.
  • Polymarket: Moneyline market clearly states: 'If Arkansas State wins, resolve to Arkansas State Red Wolves. If Louisiana wins, resolve to Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns.' Mutually exclusive outcomes. Spread and totals markets are also logically consistent with clear thresholds and tie-breaking rules.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.