TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Texas A&M Aggies (W)
Volume:
$53,538
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between the Arkansas Razorbacks and Texas A&M Aggies scheduled for February 22, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the outcome of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market resolves to Yes regardless of game outcome (both Arkansas win and Texas A&M win trigger Yes resolution), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as a predictive instrument. Polymarket correctly implements a binary outcome structure.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Kalshi's version until clarification is obtained from their support team. The market as documented cannot distinguish between the two possible outcomes. Polymarket's market is the only logically sound option for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary outcome market with mutually exclusive resolution paths. Resolves to 'Arkansas Razorbacks' if Arkansas wins, or 'Texas A&M Aggies' if Texas A&M wins. Handles postponement by keeping market open; handles cancellation with no makeup by resolving 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Yes/No market that resolves to Yes if Texas A&M wins AND also resolves to Yes if Arkansas wins. This creates a logical impossibility where both mutually exclusive outcomes map to the same resolution state, making it impossible to determine a winner.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.