This event group covers a men's college basketball game between the Arkansas Razorbacks and Missouri Tigers scheduled for March 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spreads at multiple levels (-1.5, -2.5, -3.5), and over/under totals (159.5, 160.5).
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Arkansas win and Missouri win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline. Use Polymarket's moneyline market instead, which correctly resolves to the winning team name. All spread and total markets on both platforms are consistent and resolvable - use those for directional exposure.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Moneyline market suffers from logical tautology: both Arkansas win and Missouri win resolve to Yes, making it impossible to distinguish outcomes. All other markets (spreads, totals) use standard resolution logic.
Polymarket: Moneyline correctly resolves to team name (Arkansas Razorbacks or Missouri Tigers). Spreads resolve based on margin of victory thresholds. Totals resolve based on combined points. All logic is standard and consistent.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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