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Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Florida Gators
kalshi
polymarket

Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Florida Gators

Volume:
$2,531,350

Florida

 - Kalshi

Florida - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 1, 2026

Closed: Feb 28, 11:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Florida

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$555,977
N/A
N/A
$474,668
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -9.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$105,215
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 171.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20,401
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 169.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$19,546
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 170.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$18,674
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -10.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,463
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -11.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,099
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 168.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$498
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Arkansas

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,766,232
N/A
N/A
$1,460,637
Settled
No
polymarket

Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Florida Gators

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$41,246
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This event group covers a men's college basketball game between the Arkansas Razorbacks and Florida Gators scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spread (multiple thresholds), and over/under totals (multiple thresholds) across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (Florida win and Arkansas win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure. Polymarket markets are logically sound and internally consistent.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market. It will resolve to Yes regardless of which team wins, rendering it worthless for prediction purposes. Focus trading activity on Polymarket's moneyline, spread, and total markets, which have mutually exclusive outcomes and clear settlement logic. Always cross-check final score against official NCAA.com records.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline market has a critical logical flaw: both Florida win and Arkansas win resolve to Yes. This creates a tautology where the market always resolves Yes, regardless of game outcome. Quote: 'If Florida wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Arkansas wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to 'Arkansas Razorbacks' if Arkansas wins, or 'Florida Gators' if Florida wins—mutually exclusive outcomes. Spread markets resolve based on margin of victory thresholds (-9.5, -10.5, -11.5 for Florida). Over/Under markets resolve based on combined point totals (169, 170, 171, 172 thresholds). All markets include cancellation protocol: postponement keeps market open; full cancellation resolves 50-50.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.