TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcats
Volume:
$16,051,869
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcats men's college basketball game scheduled for March 26, 2026, played at Arizona. The market resolves based on the final outcome of the game, with either team's victory triggering a Yes resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's monoline market resolves YES for ANY outcome (either team winning), making it logically incoherent and fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures mutually exclusive outcomes (Arkansas wins → resolves 'Arkansas Razorbacks', Arizona wins → resolves 'Arizona Wildcats'). This is a data integrity failure on Kalshi's part.Hero Tip:
Avoid the Kalshi monoline market entirely — it violates basic market logic by resolving YES regardless of who wins. All other Polymarket markets (spreads, totals) are coherent and resolvable. If you must trade this event, use only Polymarket's winner and derivative markets.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's monoline market (items 1–2) states 'If Arizona wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Arkansas wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical contradiction where the market resolves YES for all possible outcomes, making it impossible to distinguish between winning and losing positions. Key quote: 'If Arizona wins the Arkansas at Arizona men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Arkansas wins the Arkansas at Arizona men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard market logic: Polymarket's winner market (items 1–2 in Polymarket section) correctly defines mutually exclusive outcomes: 'If the Arkansas Razorbacks win, the market will resolve to Arkansas Razorbacks. If the Arizona Wildcats win, the market will resolve to Arizona Wildcats.' All spread and total markets follow coherent, resolvable logic with clear thresholds and tie-breaking rules. Key quote: 'If the Arkansas Razorbacks win, the market will resolve to Arkansas Razorbacks. If the Arizona Wildcats win, the market will resolve to Arizona Wildcats.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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