TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Alabama Crimson Tide
Volume:
$10,583,109
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A men's college basketball game between the Arkansas Razorbacks and Alabama Crimson Tide scheduled for February 18, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Multiple prediction markets track the moneyline outcome, point spread at different thresholds, and total points over/under at various levels.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Alabama win and Arkansas win) resolve to Yes, making it fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket provides coherent categorical resolution.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's moneyline market - it is logically broken. Use Polymarket's moneyline (categorical: Arkansas Razorbacks vs Alabama Crimson Tide) as the authoritative resolution source. All spread and total markets across both platforms use consistent final-score-based logic and should resolve identically.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states: 'If Alabama wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Arkansas wins...resolves to Yes'. This is a logical contradiction - both outcomes cannot both resolve to Yes. Market is unresolvable as written.
- Polymarket: Moneyline market provides mutually exclusive categorical resolution: 'If Arkansas wins, resolves to Arkansas Razorbacks. If Alabama wins, resolves to Alabama Crimson Tide.' Clear, coherent, and resolvable. Cancellation without makeup triggers 50-50 split.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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