TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Jackson State Tigers
Volume:
$1,018,780
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions and Jackson State Tigers scheduled for March 3, 2026. Markets include moneyline (winner), point spread (Jackson State -1.5), and two over/under totals (153.5 and 152.5 points).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (APBU win and JSU win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable as a binary winner-picker.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading the Kalshi moneyline until clarification is provided. The Polymarket moneyline, Polymarket spread, and both over/under markets across platforms are logically consistent and resolvable. Confirm with Kalshi whether the moneyline was intended to resolve Yes only if the game is played (not a winner-picker).Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market maps both outcomes to Yes: 'If Arkansas-Pine Bluff wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If Jackson St. wins...resolves to Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility for a binary market.
- Polymarket: Moneyline market correctly resolves to 'Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions' if APBU wins or 'Jackson State Tigers' if JSU wins. Standard binary winner-picker logic with 50-50 cancellation clause.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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