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$1,640,545,998

469,304

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2,948

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Arizona Wildcats vs. Houston Cougars
kalshi
polymarket

Arizona Wildcats vs. Houston Cougars

Volume:
$11,820,443

Arizona

 - Kalshi

Arizona - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 22, 2026

Closed: Feb 21, 6:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Arizona

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,536,754
N/A
N/A
$3,248,825
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Houston

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,969,734
N/A
N/A
$3,119,739
Settled
No
polymarket

Arizona Wildcats vs. Houston Cougars

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$269,377
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 141.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27,027
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -5.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,938
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -6.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,612
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the Arizona Wildcats vs. Houston Cougars men's college basketball game scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), point spread (-5.5 and -6.5), and total points (O/U 141.5) outcomes.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both Houston win and Arizona win conditions are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's moneyline and derivative markets (spreads, totals) are logically consistent across all platforms.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi's moneyline until the contradiction is resolved by the platform. All Polymarket markets and Kalshi's spread/total markets (if they follow standard logic) are safe to trade. Confirm Kalshi's actual moneyline resolution rules in writing before settlement.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline market states both 'If Houston wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If Arizona wins...resolves to Yes' per provided text, creating logical impossibility. Spread and total markets not provided but assumed standard. Key quote: 'If Houston wins the Arizona at Houston men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Arizona wins the Arizona at Houston men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to 'Arizona Wildcats' if Arizona wins or 'Houston Cougars' if Houston wins with clear mutual exclusivity. Spreads (-5.5 and -6.5) resolve based on margin thresholds. Total (O/U 141.5) resolves based on combined points. All markets include postponement (remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split) provisions. Key quote: 'If the Arizona Wildcats win, the market will resolve to Arizona Wildcats. If the Houston Cougars win, the market will resolve to Houston Cougars.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.