TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Arizona Wildcats vs. Houston Cougars
Volume:
$11,820,443
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Arizona Wildcats vs. Houston Cougars men's college basketball game scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), point spread (-5.5 and -6.5), and total points (O/U 141.5) outcomes.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both Houston win and Arizona win conditions are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's moneyline and derivative markets (spreads, totals) are logically consistent across all platforms.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's moneyline until the contradiction is resolved by the platform. All Polymarket markets and Kalshi's spread/total markets (if they follow standard logic) are safe to trade. Confirm Kalshi's actual moneyline resolution rules in writing before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states both 'If Houston wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If Arizona wins...resolves to Yes' per provided text, creating logical impossibility. Spread and total markets not provided but assumed standard. Key quote: 'If Houston wins the Arizona at Houston men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Arizona wins the Arizona at Houston men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to 'Arizona Wildcats' if Arizona wins or 'Houston Cougars' if Houston wins with clear mutual exclusivity. Spreads (-5.5 and -6.5) resolve based on margin thresholds. Total (O/U 141.5) resolves based on combined points. All markets include postponement (remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split) provisions. Key quote: 'If the Arizona Wildcats win, the market will resolve to Arizona Wildcats. If the Houston Cougars win, the market will resolve to Houston Cougars.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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