A college basketball game between the Arizona Wildcats and Colorado Buffaloes scheduled for March 7, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET. Markets cover the moneyline (winner), point spreads at -13.5 and -14.5, and over/under totals at 155.5 and 156.5 points.
Kalshi's moneyline market has a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Arizona win and Colorado win) resolve to the same result (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and unable to differentiate between outcomes.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's moneyline market—it is unresolvable by design. Use Polymarket's moneyline (Arizona Wildcats vs. Colorado Buffaloes) for winner exposure. Spread and total markets on both platforms are logically sound and consistent.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Moneyline market resolves to Yes for both Arizona win and Colorado win outcomes, creating a logical impossibility. Quote: 'If Arizona wins...resolves to Yes. If Colorado wins...resolves to Yes.'
Polymarket: Moneyline market resolves to 'Arizona Wildcats' if Arizona wins or 'Colorado Buffaloes' if Colorado wins, providing proper outcome differentiation. Quote: 'If the Arizona Wildcats win, the market will resolve to Arizona Wildcats. If the Colorado Buffaloes win, the market will resolve to Colorado Buffaloes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.