TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Arizona Wildcats vs. Baylor Bears
Volume:
$4,468,601
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A men's college basketball game between the Arizona Wildcats and Baylor Bears scheduled for February 24, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET at Baylor. Markets cover the moneyline (winner), point spreads at -7.5 and -8.5, and over/under totals at 154.5 and 155.5 points.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (Arizona win and Baylor win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market unresolvable as a binary prediction instrument. This is a data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline. It will resolve Yes no matter who wins, eliminating any predictive value. Use Polymarket's moneyline instead, which correctly resolves to either Arizona Wildcats or Baylor Bears. Spread and total markets on both platforms are logically sound and consistent.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market resolves to Yes for both Arizona win and Baylor win outcomes. This creates a tautological resolution that violates binary market logic. Quote: 'If Baylor wins...resolves to Yes. If Arizona wins...resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Moneyline market resolves to categorical outcome: Arizona Wildcats if Arizona wins, Baylor Bears if Baylor wins. Standard and logically sound. Quote: 'If the Arizona Wildcats win, the market will resolve to Arizona Wildcats. If the Baylor Bears win, the market will resolve to Baylor Bears.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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