TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Arizona Wildcats vs. Arizona State Sun Devils (W)
Volume:
$129,220
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between the Arizona Wildcats and Arizona State Sun Devils scheduled for March 4, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET. Markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement or cancellation.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Arizona win or Arizona State win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as a binary contract.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market due to critical data integrity failure. The Polymarket version is the only resolvable contract with clear mutually exclusive outcomes.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Resolves to Arizona Wildcats if they win, Arizona State Sun Devils if they win. Final score including overtime determines result. Cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Postponement keeps market open until completion. Key quote: If the Arizona Wildcats win, the market will resolve to Arizona Wildcats. If the Arizona State Sun Devils win, the market will resolve to Arizona State Sun Devils.
- Kalshi: Logically contradictory: states If Arizona wins then resolves to Yes AND If Arizona St. wins then resolves to Yes. This makes both outcomes map to the same resolution, violating binary market logic. Key quote: If Arizona wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Arizona St. wins...then the market resolves to Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.