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Arizona State Sun Devils vs. TCU Horned Frogs
kalshi
polymarket

Arizona State Sun Devils vs. TCU Horned Frogs

Volume:
$689,240

TCU

 - Kalshi

TCU - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 25, 2026

Closed: Feb 25, 12:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

TCU

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$280,512
N/A
N/A
$210,133
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Arizona St.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$357,032
N/A
N/A
$248,697
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -6.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$17,001
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -7.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,167
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 148.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,204
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 149.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,784
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 147.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$709
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Arizona State Sun Devils vs. TCU Horned Frogs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,831
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 8

Description

A men's college basketball game between Arizona State Sun Devils and TCU Horned Frogs scheduled for February 24, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spread outcomes at multiple thresholds, and total points over/under at multiple levels.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi moneyline market contains logical contradiction: both Arizona St. win and TCU win are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket provides proper binary resolution structure.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market as written - it contains a data integrity failure. Treat Polymarket moneyline as the authoritative resolution source. Spread and total markets across both platforms are logically sound and consistent.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline market states: If Arizona St. wins then Yes, AND If TCU wins then Yes. This creates logical impossibility where both outcomes resolve identically. Quote: 'If Arizona St. wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If TCU wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Moneyline market provides standard binary resolution: Arizona State Sun Devils win resolves to Arizona State Sun Devils, TCU win resolves to TCU Horned Frogs. Includes proper edge case handling: postponement keeps market open, full cancellation resolves 50-50. Quote: 'If the Arizona State Sun Devils win, the market will resolve to Arizona State Sun Devils. If the TCU Horned Frogs win, the market will resolve to TCU Horned Frogs.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.