TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Baylor Bears
Volume:
$1,578,593
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Arizona State Sun Devils and Baylor Bears scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), point spread (-7.5 Baylor), and two over/under totals (157.5 and 158.5 points).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both Arizona State victory and Baylor victory are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as written. Polymarket's moneyline is logically sound with mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's moneyline until the contradiction is clarified. The market as written cannot function. Polymarket's moneyline, spread, and total markets all use consistent and resolvable logic. Prioritize Polymarket for this event group.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states both Arizona State win and Baylor win resolve to Yes. This is a logical impossibility for a binary market. Quote: 'If Arizona St. wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Baylor wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Moneyline market resolves to either Arizona State Sun Devils or Baylor Bears based on actual winner. Spread and total markets use consistent thresholds (spread at 8+ point margin, totals at 158+ and 159+ points). All markets remain open if postponed and resolve 50-50 if fully canceled. Quote: 'If the Arizona State Sun Devils win, the market will resolve to Arizona State Sun Devils. If the Baylor Bears win, the market will resolve to Baylor Bears.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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