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406,065

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2,692

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5

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Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Baylor Bears
kalshi
polymarket

Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Baylor Bears

Volume:
$1,578,593

Baylor

 - Kalshi

Baylor - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 17, 2026

Closed: Feb 21, 7:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Baylor

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$601,954
N/A
N/A
$385,983
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Arizona St.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$903,078
N/A
N/A
$555,000
Settled
No
polymarket

Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Baylor Bears

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$68,532
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -7.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,606
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 158.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$233
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 157.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$191
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Arizona State Sun Devils and Baylor Bears scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), point spread (-7.5 Baylor), and two over/under totals (157.5 and 158.5 points).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both Arizona State victory and Baylor victory are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as written. Polymarket's moneyline is logically sound with mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi's moneyline until the contradiction is clarified. The market as written cannot function. Polymarket's moneyline, spread, and total markets all use consistent and resolvable logic. Prioritize Polymarket for this event group.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline market states both Arizona State win and Baylor win resolve to Yes. This is a logical impossibility for a binary market. Quote: 'If Arizona St. wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Baylor wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Moneyline market resolves to either Arizona State Sun Devils or Baylor Bears based on actual winner. Spread and total markets use consistent thresholds (spread at 8+ point margin, totals at 158+ and 159+ points). All markets remain open if postponed and resolve 50-50 if fully canceled. Quote: 'If the Arizona State Sun Devils win, the market will resolve to Arizona State Sun Devils. If the Baylor Bears win, the market will resolve to Baylor Bears.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.