TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Arizona Wildcats (W)
Volume:
$139,972
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Arizona State Sun Devils and Arizona Wildcats scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement and cancellation scenarios.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Arizona wins or Arizona State wins) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market outcome predetermined rather than contingent on the game result. Polymarket uses standard categorical resolution tied to actual winner.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's market until the resolution logic is clarified by the platform. The current wording suggests a guaranteed Yes payout regardless of game outcome, which indicates either a critical error in market design or missing resolution criteria. Polymarket's market is standard and resolvable based on final game score.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Binary Yes/No structure with both outcomes mapping to Yes. States: 'If Arizona wins...then Yes. If Arizona St. wins...then Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility in a binary market.
- Polymarket: Categorical winner-selection structure. Resolves to 'Arizona State Sun Devils' if ASU wins, or 'Arizona Wildcats' if Arizona wins. Includes standard edge cases: postponement keeps market open, cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.