TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Arizona Wildcats (W)
kalshi
polymarket

Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Arizona Wildcats (W)

Volume:
$139,972

Arizona St.

 - Kalshi

Arizona St. - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 15, 2026

Arizona St. at Arizona Winner?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Arizona St.

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$758,298
$70,528
0%
0%
$40,008
N/A
polymarket

Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Arizona Wildcats (W)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$56
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Arizona

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$749,331
$69,388
0%
0%
$35,662
N/A
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Arizona State Sun Devils and Arizona Wildcats scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement and cancellation scenarios.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Arizona wins or Arizona State wins) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market outcome predetermined rather than contingent on the game result. Polymarket uses standard categorical resolution tied to actual winner.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi's market until the resolution logic is clarified by the platform. The current wording suggests a guaranteed Yes payout regardless of game outcome, which indicates either a critical error in market design or missing resolution criteria. Polymarket's market is standard and resolvable based on final game score.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Binary Yes/No structure with both outcomes mapping to Yes. States: 'If Arizona wins...then Yes. If Arizona St. wins...then Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility in a binary market.
  • Polymarket: Categorical winner-selection structure. Resolves to 'Arizona State Sun Devils' if ASU wins, or 'Arizona Wildcats' if Arizona wins. Includes standard edge cases: postponement keeps market open, cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.