TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Argentina vs. Zambia
kalshi
polymarket

Argentina vs. Zambia

Volume:
$549,200

Argentina

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 1, 2026

Closed: Mar 31, 7:15 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Argentina

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$94,957
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Argentina

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$57,790
N/A
N/A
$40,152
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Zambia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$191,306
N/A
N/A
$149,268
Settled
No
polymarket

Zambia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$48,200
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$125,822
N/A
N/A
$93,743
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Argentina vs. Zambia)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31,125
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

Argentina and Zambia will compete in an international friendly soccer match scheduled for March 31, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the final score after 90 minutes of regulation play plus stoppage time, with no extra time or penalty shootout resolution. This is a standard bilateral fixture between two national teams.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market structure resolves YES for all three possible outcomes (Argentina win, Zambia win, or draw), making it logically impossible to distinguish between outcomes. Polymarket correctly structures three separate binary markets (one for each outcome). This is a fundamental data integrity failure on Kalshi.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi's market — it is unresolvable as written. All three outcome conditions resolve to YES, which violates basic market logic. Trade only on Polymarket, which has three distinct binary markets with mutually exclusive resolution criteria.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Outlier (correctly structured): Polymarket offers three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes. Each market resolves YES only for its specific outcome (Argentina win, Zambia win, or draw) and NO for all others. Resolution is based on official FIFA statistics or credible reporting within 2 hours of match conclusion, covering only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • Kalshi: Outlier (logically broken): Kalshi's market contains three resolution conditions that all resolve to YES: 'If Zambia wins... then YES', 'If Tie wins... then YES', and 'If Argentina wins... then YES'. This creates a logical contradiction where the market resolves YES regardless of the actual match outcome, making it impossible to determine a meaningful settlement value.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.