TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Argentina vs. Zambia
Volume:
$549,200
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
Argentina and Zambia will compete in an international friendly soccer match scheduled for March 31, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the final score after 90 minutes of regulation play plus stoppage time, with no extra time or penalty shootout resolution. This is a standard bilateral fixture between two national teams.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure resolves YES for all three possible outcomes (Argentina win, Zambia win, or draw), making it logically impossible to distinguish between outcomes. Polymarket correctly structures three separate binary markets (one for each outcome). This is a fundamental data integrity failure on Kalshi.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's market — it is unresolvable as written. All three outcome conditions resolve to YES, which violates basic market logic. Trade only on Polymarket, which has three distinct binary markets with mutually exclusive resolution criteria.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier (correctly structured): Polymarket offers three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes. Each market resolves YES only for its specific outcome (Argentina win, Zambia win, or draw) and NO for all others. Resolution is based on official FIFA statistics or credible reporting within 2 hours of match conclusion, covering only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
- Kalshi: Outlier (logically broken): Kalshi's market contains three resolution conditions that all resolve to YES: 'If Zambia wins... then YES', 'If Tie wins... then YES', and 'If Argentina wins... then YES'. This creates a logical contradiction where the market resolves YES regardless of the actual match outcome, making it impossible to determine a meaningful settlement value.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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