Date ambiguity (June 16 vs June 17, 2026) and asymmetric cancellation logic across platforms. Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause, while Polymarket/Predict resolve Draw to YES but Argentina/Algeria wins to NO if match is canceled entirely. Limitless applies a hard July 17, 2026 UTC deadline for official result publication.
Hero Tip:
Verify the official FIFA World Cup schedule to confirm whether the match is June 16 or June 17, 2026. Be aware that if the match is canceled with no make-up game, Draw markets on Polymarket and Predict will resolve YES while Argentina/Algeria win markets resolve NO, creating a logical inconsistency. On Limitless, any match without an official result by July 17, 2026, 01:00 UTC will resolve Draw to YES and Argentina/Algeria wins to NO.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: All three outcome markets (Argentina win, Algeria win, Tie) resolve to YES if that outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or deadline clause provided. Quote: 'If [outcome] wins the Argentina vs Algeria professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Limitless: Argentina and Algeria win markets resolve NO if match is not completed with official result by July 17, 2026, 01:00 UTC. Draw market resolves YES if match ends in draw OR if no official result by deadline. Quote: 'If the club does not win or if the match is not completed with an official result by July 17, 2026, 01:00 UTC, the market will resolve to NO.' and 'This market will resolve to YES if the match specified in the title ends in a draw...or if the match is not completed with an official result by July 17, 2026, 01:00 UTC.'
Polymarket: Argentina and Algeria win markets resolve NO if canceled with no make-up game. Draw market resolves YES if canceled with no make-up game. All markets reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Primary source is official FIFA statistics within 2 hours post-event; consensus reporting used if delayed. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (Draw) vs 'this market will resolve No' (Argentina/Algeria wins).
Predict: Identical logic to Polymarket: Draw resolves YES on cancellation; Argentina/Algeria wins resolve NO on cancellation. Same 2-hour official statistics window with consensus fallback. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (Draw) vs 'this market will resolve No' (Argentina/Algeria wins).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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