This event group covers a Turkish Super Lig soccer match between Antalyaspor and Gaziantep FK scheduled for March 13, 2026. Three binary markets across Polymarket and Kalshi track the outcome: whether Gaziantep wins, whether Antalyaspor wins, and whether the match ends in a draw. All markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
Kalshi's draw market resolution criteria is logically contradictory, resolving YES for all three possible match outcomes (tie, Antalyaspor win, Gaziantep win). This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as a binary prediction and creates a data integrity failure.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi draw market based on these terms. The Polymarket draw market (resolves YES only on actual draw, NO on any decisive result) is the only logically coherent draw prediction available. Contact Kalshi support to clarify the actual resolution logic before placing any trades.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Draw market resolves YES if match ends in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; resolves NO for any decisive result (Antalyaspor or Gaziantep win). If match is canceled with no makeup, resolves YES. Primary source: official TFF statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours of conclusion.
Kalshi: Draw market resolution states: 'If Tie wins... resolves to Yes. If Antalyaspor wins... resolves to Yes. If Gaziantep wins... resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where all three mutually exclusive outcomes trigger YES resolution, making the market unresolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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