Kalshi market resolves YES for ALL possible outcomes (Angers win, draw, or Le Havre win), making it logically unresolvable and fundamentally broken. Polymarket offers three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive resolution logic.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. It is a logical trap—it will resolve YES regardless of the match result, rendering it worthless for price discovery. Trade only Polymarket's three separate markets (Angers win, Le Havre win, draw), which have coherent, mutually exclusive resolution rules.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes: (1) Draw resolves YES only if match ends in a draw; (2) Angers win resolves YES only if Angers wins; (3) Le Havre win resolves YES only if Le Havre wins. Exactly one will resolve YES. Resolution source: official Ligue1.com statistics within 2 hours, or credible consensus if delayed. Cancellation with no makeup resolves draw market to YES, win markets to NO.
Kalshi: Single market with three outcome clauses: 'If Angers wins... resolves YES. If Tie wins... resolves YES. If Le Havre wins... resolves YES.' This creates a logical contradiction—the market resolves YES for all three mutually exclusive outcomes, making it impossible to ever resolve NO. Quote: 'If Angers wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Le Havre wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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