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406,422

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2,688

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Anadolu Efes vs. ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne
kalshi
polymarket

Anadolu Efes vs. ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne

Volume:
$36,832

ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne

 - Kalshi

ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 18, 2026

Closed: Mar 6, 3:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$24,995
N/A
N/A
$16,616
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Anadolu Efes SK

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,837
N/A
N/A
$10,346
Settled
No
polymarket

Anadolu Efes vs. ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a single professional Euroleague basketball game between Anadolu Efes SK and ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne scheduled for March 6, 2026 at 12:30 PM EST. The markets predict the winner of this matchup, with resolution dependent on the final game outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic is internally contradictory: both mutually exclusive outcomes (Anadolu Efes win and ASVEL win) are specified to resolve to Yes, which violates binary logic. Polymarket provides coherent categorical resolution with explicit edge-case handling.Hero tip: This is a data integrity failure on Kalshi. Both outcomes cannot resolve to Yes in a single-game winner market. Treat Polymarket as authoritative. Request clarification from Kalshi before placing trades, as the market may be unresolvable as currently written.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Specifies that if Anadolu Efes wins, market resolves Yes; AND if ASVEL wins, market resolves Yes. This is logically impossible for a binary market. Quote: 'If Anadolu Efes SK wins...then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Resolves to categorical outcome: 'Anadolu Efes' if they win, 'ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne' if they win. Includes explicit edge cases: postponement keeps market open; cancellation resolves 50-50. Quote: 'If the Anadolu Efes win, the market will resolve to Anadolu Efes. If the ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne win, the market will resolve to ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.