TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Anadolu Efes vs. ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne
Volume:
$36,832
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single professional Euroleague basketball game between Anadolu Efes SK and ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne scheduled for March 6, 2026 at 12:30 PM EST. The markets predict the winner of this matchup, with resolution dependent on the final game outcome.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is internally contradictory: both mutually exclusive outcomes (Anadolu Efes win and ASVEL win) are specified to resolve to Yes, which violates binary logic. Polymarket provides coherent categorical resolution with explicit edge-case handling.Hero Tip:
This is a data integrity failure on Kalshi. Both outcomes cannot resolve to Yes in a single-game winner market. Treat Polymarket as authoritative. Request clarification from Kalshi before placing trades, as the market may be unresolvable as currently written.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Specifies that if Anadolu Efes wins, market resolves Yes; AND if ASVEL wins, market resolves Yes. This is logically impossible for a binary market. Quote: 'If Anadolu Efes SK wins...then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Resolves to categorical outcome: 'Anadolu Efes' if they win, 'ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne' if they win. Includes explicit edge cases: postponement keeps market open; cancellation resolves 50-50. Quote: 'If the Anadolu Efes win, the market will resolve to Anadolu Efes. If the ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne win, the market will resolve to ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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