Date discrepancy (June 27 vs June 28, 2026) and divergent cancellation resolution logic across platforms. Polymarket and Predict explicitly resolve Draw to YES upon cancellation, while Limitless and Kalshi do not address this scenario clearly.
Hero Tip:
Verify the official FIFA World Cup 2026 fixture list to confirm the correct match date. If the match is canceled without rescheduling, Polymarket and Predict Draw markets will pay out YES, while Limitless and Kalshi markets remain ambiguous or may default to NO. Traders should hedge Draw positions across platforms accordingly.
Critical Divergence Points:
Limitless: Scheduled date listed as June 28, 2026. Draw market resolves YES if match is not completed with official result by July 28, 2026, 02:00 UTC; otherwise resolves NO. No explicit cancellation clause. Key Quote: 'If the club does not win or if the match is not completed with an official result by July 28, 2026, 02:00 UTC, the market will resolve to NO.'
Kalshi: Scheduled date listed as June 27, 2026. All three outcomes (Tie, Algeria win, Austria win) resolve YES if that outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Key Quote: 'If Tie wins the Algeria vs Austria professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 27, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Polymarket: Scheduled date listed as June 27, 2026. Draw market explicitly resolves YES if match is canceled entirely with no make-up game; Algeria and Austria win markets resolve NO if canceled. Postponed matches remain open until completion. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (Draw) and 'this market will resolve No' (Win markets).
Predict: Scheduled date listed as June 27, 2026 (Saturday). Draw market explicitly resolves YES if match is canceled entirely with no make-up game; Algeria and Austria win markets resolve NO if canceled. Postponed matches remain open until completion. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (Draw) and 'this market will resolve No' (Win markets).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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