TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Albany Great Danes vs. UMBC Retrievers
polymarket
kalshi

Albany Great Danes vs. UMBC Retrievers

Volume:
$508,791

UMBC

 - Kalshi

UMBC - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 17, 2026

Closed: Feb 21, 4:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

UMBC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$272,240
N/A
N/A
$168,150
Settled
Yes
kalshi

University at Albany

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$217,469
N/A
N/A
$139,186
Settled
No
polymarket

Albany Great Danes vs. UMBC Retrievers

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,978
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -6.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$636
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 143.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$275
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 144.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$193
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a men's college basketball game between the University at Albany Great Danes and the UMBC Retrievers scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), over/under totals at two thresholds (143.5 and 144.5 points), and a point spread (-6.5 UMBC). Resolution depends on the final score including overtime, with provisions for postponement and cancellation.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Albany win and UMBC win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market unresolvable and indicating a data integrity failure.Hero tip: Do not settle positions on the Kalshi market without explicit platform clarification. The market appears to have a drafting error. Use Polymarket as the authoritative source for this matchup, as its moneyline, spread, and total markets are logically sound and mutually consistent.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Five distinct markets with clear, mutually consistent logic: Moneyline resolves to winning team name; O/U 143.5 resolves Over if combined score is 144+, Under if less than 144; O/U 144.5 resolves Over if combined score is 145+, Under if less than 145; Spread resolves UMBC if they win by 7+, otherwise Albany. All include postponement and 50-50 cancellation provisions. Key Quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.'
  • Kalshi: Single market with logical impossibility: 'If University at Albany wins...resolves to Yes. If UMBC wins...resolves to Yes.' Both mutually exclusive outcomes map to identical resolution, creating an unresolvable state. No edge case provisions mentioned. Key Quote: Both conditional branches resolve to Yes, contradicting binary market structure.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.