Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines

Critical divergence points:

• Kalshi: Outlier: Contains 12 binary conditions that are mutually exclusive and logically contradictory. Conditions require both Alabama wins (Conditions 7, 11, 12) and Michigan wins at multiple thresholds (Conditions 1–6, 8–10) to all resolve YES, which is impossible in a single game outcome. Example: 'If Michigan wins by more than 1.5 points... then the market resolves to Yes' (Condition 10) directly contradicts 'If Alabama wins by more than 5.5 points... then the market resolves to Yes' (Condition 7). No resolution framework is specified for which condition takes precedence or how a single outcome maps to a single YES/NO result.
• Polymarket: Aligned with standard prediction market logic: Provides 18 distinct, non-overlapping markets (1 moneyline, 10 spread markets at different thresholds, 7 over/under markets). Each market has a single, clear resolution rule tied to final game score. Example moneyline: 'If the Alabama Crimson Tide win, the market will resolve to Alabama Crimson Tide. If the Michigan Wolverines win, the market will resolve to Michigan Wolverines.' Example spread: 'This market will resolve to Michigan Wolverines if the Michigan Wolverines win the game by 10 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to Alabama Crimson Tide.' All markets reference the same source (NCAA.com final score including overtime) and resolve 50-50 only if the game is canceled entirely with no makeup.