TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club
Volume:
$466,012
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Saudi Professional League match between Al Shabab Saudi Club and Al Ahli Saudi Club scheduled for February 13, 2026. Three related markets track the outcome: Al Shabab win, Al Ahli win, and draw, all resolving based on the result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
The draw market has contradictory cancellation logic compared to the win markets. If the game is canceled with no make-up, the draw market resolves YES while both win markets resolve NO, creating an impossible outcome state where all three markets cannot be mutually exclusive.Hero Tip:
Treat the cancellation scenario as a tail risk. In practice, full game cancellations in the Saudi Professional League are rare. If you are hedging across all three outcomes, note that a cancellation would pay out the draw market only. Consider the likelihood of postponement (which keeps markets open) versus outright cancellation (which triggers the divergent rule).Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate markets with inconsistent cancellation rules. Win markets (Al Shabab and Al Ahli) resolve NO on full cancellation; draw market resolves YES on full cancellation. All markets remain open if postponed and refer only to 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Source: slstat.com.
- Kalshi: No detailed rules available; unable to confirm whether Kalshi hosts related markets or what its cancellation logic is.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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