This event group covers a Saudi Pro League match between Al Riyadh and Al Ittihad scheduled for March 13, 2026. Markets track three mutually exclusive outcomes: Al Riyadh win, Al Ittihad win, or draw, all evaluated at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
Polymarket and Kalshi diverge on how cancellation without a makeup game is handled. Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause, while Polymarket's draw market resolves Yes on cancellation, but win markets resolve No.
Hero Tip:
Monitor for cancellation announcements. If the match is canceled with no makeup scheduled, Polymarket traders holding draw positions will resolve Yes while win position holders resolve No. Kalshi's lack of explicit cancellation language creates settlement ambiguity; seek clarification from Kalshi before the event date.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Al Riyadh win resolves Yes/No, Al Ittihad win resolves Yes/No, draw resolves Yes/No. All evaluate 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves win markets to No but draw market to Yes. Source: slstat.com.
Kalshi: Three outcome markets all resolve to Yes if that outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Implicit logic suggests markets only settle if game is played and produces a result.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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