TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club
kalshi
polymarket

Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club

Volume:
$24,572

Draw (Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club)

 - Polymarket

Draw (Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club) - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 1, 2026

Closed: Feb 28, 1:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Draw (Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,804
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 1.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$327
N/A
N/A
$327
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,558
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Al Taawoun Saudi Club

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,037
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 4.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,031
N/A
N/A
$852
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 2.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$920
N/A
N/A
$918
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 3.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$895
N/A
N/A
$747
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event group covers a Saudi Pro League match between Al Qadisiyah and Al Taawoun scheduled for February 28, 2026. Markets span multiple outcome types: total goals scored (Kalshi), match winner (Polymarket), and draw outcome (Polymarket), all settling on 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Market scope divergence: Kalshi resolves on total goals thresholds while Polymarket resolves on match result (win/draw/loss). Both use identical time window (90 min + stoppage) but measure different outcomes.Hero tip: Treat these as two independent prediction families. Kalshi goals markets and Polymarket result markets will resolve independently based on the final match score. A high-scoring draw (e.g., 2-2) resolves Kalshi >1.5 and >2.5 to Yes, and Polymarket Draw to Yes, but Polymarket Win markets to No. Cross-platform arbitrage is not possible here.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Four binary markets on cumulative goals: >1.5, >2.5, >3.5, >4.5 total goals by both teams combined. Resolution: Yes if threshold exceeded, No otherwise. Key Quote: 'after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties)'
  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: (1) Al Qadisiyah Win, (2) Draw, (3) Al Taawoun Win. Exactly one resolves Yes based on final match result. Cancellation with no makeup resolves Win markets to No and Draw market to Yes. Key Quote: 'This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.