TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club
Volume:
$24,572
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Saudi Pro League match between Al Qadisiyah and Al Taawoun scheduled for February 28, 2026. Markets span multiple outcome types: total goals scored (Kalshi), match winner (Polymarket), and draw outcome (Polymarket), all settling on 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Market scope divergence: Kalshi resolves on total goals thresholds while Polymarket resolves on match result (win/draw/loss). Both use identical time window (90 min + stoppage) but measure different outcomes.Hero Tip:
Treat these as two independent prediction families. Kalshi goals markets and Polymarket result markets will resolve independently based on the final match score. A high-scoring draw (e.g., 2-2) resolves Kalshi >1.5 and >2.5 to Yes, and Polymarket Draw to Yes, but Polymarket Win markets to No. Cross-platform arbitrage is not possible here.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Four binary markets on cumulative goals: >1.5, >2.5, >3.5, >4.5 total goals by both teams combined. Resolution: Yes if threshold exceeded, No otherwise. Key Quote: 'after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties)'
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: (1) Al Qadisiyah Win, (2) Draw, (3) Al Taawoun Win. Exactly one resolves Yes based on final match result. Cancellation with no makeup resolves Win markets to No and Draw market to Yes. Key Quote: 'This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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