TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club
Volume:
$678,504
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Saudi Pro League soccer match between Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club and Al Ahli Saudi Club scheduled for March 13, 2026. Markets across platforms are betting on the final outcome (win/loss/draw) after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Kalshi lacks explicit cancellation language, implying all outcomes resolve Yes. Polymarket explicitly resolves win/loss markets to No on cancellation but draw markets to Yes.Hero Tip:
Monitor for match cancellations or postponements. If the match is canceled without rescheduling, expect Polymarket draw and Kalshi tie markets to resolve Yes, but Polymarket win/loss markets to resolve No while Kalshi win/loss markets may resolve Yes. Request clarification from Kalshi on their cancellation protocol.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Three separate binary markets (Al Qadisiyah win, Al Ahli win, tie) all resolve to Yes if their respective outcome occurs. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Key quote: 'If Tie wins the Al Qadsiah vs Al Ahli Saudi professional Saudi Pro League soccer game originally scheduled for Mar 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Three separate markets with outcome-dependent cancellation rules. Win/loss markets resolve No on cancellation; draw market resolves Yes on cancellation. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No' (win/loss) vs 'this market will resolve Yes' (draw).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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