TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club - More Markets
Volume:
$51,665
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Saudi Professional League match between Al Okhdood SC and Al Nassr Saudi Club scheduled for April 11, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets span multiple dimensions: total goals scored (Over/Under at 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, and 4.5 thresholds), spread betting (both teams at ±1.5 and ±2.5 goal margins), both teams to score, and various goal-differential outcomes. All markets resolve based on the final score within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally different market structures for the same match. Kalshi offers four binary YES/NO markets based on goal-differential thresholds, while Polymarket offers six markets covering totals, spreads, and both-teams-to-score outcomes. The platforms resolve on the same underlying event and primary source (official final score), but the market types, settlement values, and outcome spaces are entirely distinct.Hero Tip:
These are not competing markets on the same question—they are different product types. Kalshi bettors choose which goal-differential outcome to back (e.g., Al-Akhdoud wins by >2.5 or Al Nassr wins by >1.5). Polymarket bettors choose from totals, spreads, and prop bets. If you want to bet on a specific goal margin, use Kalshi; if you want to bet on total goals or a specific spread, use Polymarket. Both platforms will resolve consistently against the official final score, so there is no settlement risk—only a choice of market structure.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers four binary YES/NO markets, each tied to a specific goal-differential threshold. Market 1 resolves YES if Al-Akhdoud wins by >2.5 goals; Market 2 resolves YES if Al Nassr wins by >1.5 goals; Market 3 resolves YES if Al Nassr wins by >2.5 goals; Market 4 resolves YES if Al-Akhdoud wins by >1.5 goals. Each market is independent; multiple markets can resolve YES if the final margin satisfies multiple thresholds. Resolution source: official final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers six markets covering three market types: (1) Over/Under totals at 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, and 4.5 combined goals; (2) two spread markets (Al Nassr -1.5 and -2.5, Al Okhdood -1.5 and -2.5); and (3) one both-teams-to-score prop. Each market resolves to a single outcome (Over/Under, or one team wins the spread). Resolution source: official final score published on slstat.com after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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