TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club
Volume:
$177,545
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Saudi Pro League soccer match between Al Okhdood SC and Al Nassr Saudi Club scheduled for April 11, 2026. Multiple prediction markets across Kalshi and Polymarket are tracking the outcome (win/loss/draw) based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure is logically incoherent: all three outcome markets resolve to Yes regardless of match result. Polymarket's draw market conflates cancellation with a draw outcome, creating ambiguity about the true resolution intent.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi entirely—the market is unresolvable. On Polymarket, treat the draw market with caution: if the game is canceled, the market will resolve Yes, which may not reflect true draw probability. Request clarification from the market creator before trading.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: All three markets (Al Nassr win, Tie, Al-Akhdoud win) are structured identically with the same resolution condition: 'then the market resolves to Yes.' This means every possible match outcome—win, loss, or draw—triggers Yes on all three markets simultaneously, which is logically impossible for a mutually exclusive event set. Key quote: 'If Al Nassr wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Al-Akhdoud wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with standard Yes/No logic. However, the draw market contains a unique cancellation clause: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes.' This conflates cancellation (a non-event) with a draw (a match outcome), creating ambiguity about whether a cancellation should count as a draw. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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