This event group covers a Saudi Pro League soccer match between Al Okhdood SC and Al Fayha Saudi Club scheduled for March 7, 2026. Three related markets track the outcome: Al Okhdood win, Al Fayha win, and draw, all measured at 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
Cancellation handling divergence: Polymarket applies asymmetric resolution (draw resolves Yes, wins/losses resolve No on cancellation), while Kalshi omits cancellation guidance entirely. Both platforms agree on regular-play scope (90 min + stoppage, no extra time/penalties) and postponement handling (markets remain open).
Hero Tip:
Monitor for cancellation risk. If the match is canceled with no rescheduling, Polymarket traders holding the draw market will see it resolve Yes while win/loss positions resolve No—a partial payout scenario. Kalshi's silence on cancellation creates settlement ambiguity. Request explicit cancellation protocols from both platforms before the event date.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Three separate markets with asymmetric cancellation logic. Win and Loss markets resolve No on cancellation; Draw market resolves Yes on cancellation. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No' (win/loss) and 'this market will resolve Yes' (draw). Postponement keeps markets open until completion.
Kalshi: Three mutually exclusive outcome markets (Al-Akhdoud win, Tie, Al-Fayha win) with no explicit cancellation clause. All outcomes are treated as collectively exhaustive with no fallback language. Quote: 'If Al-Akhdoud wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Al-Fayha wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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