TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club
kalshi
polymarket

Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club

Volume:
$813,582

Al Nassr Saudi Club

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 4, 2026

Closed: Apr 3, 2:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Al Nassr Saudi Club

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$235,694
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Al Nassr

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$120,456
N/A
N/A
$50,026
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Al-Najma

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$230,780
N/A
N/A
$155,883
Settled
No
polymarket

Al Najmah Saudi Club

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$44,834
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$145,501
N/A
N/A
$87,944
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36,317
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event is for the upcoming Saudi Professional League game, scheduled for Friday, April 3, 2026 between Al Nassr Saudi Club and Al Najmah Saudi Club.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's three markets collectively cover all possible outcomes (Al Nassr win, Al Najmah win, or tie) and each resolves to YES for its respective outcome, creating logical contradiction where exactly one market must resolve YES regardless of result. Polymarket's three markets are mutually exclusive and properly structured: only one can resolve YES based on the actual match outcome. This fundamental difference in market architecture makes Kalshi's group unresolvable as written.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi's markets in this group — they contain a logical flaw where all three markets would resolve YES simultaneously for any match outcome, violating basic market design. Polymarket's markets are properly constructed and resolvable. If you hold Kalshi positions, seek clarification from Kalshi support before settlement.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi defines three separate YES-resolution conditions that are mutually exhaustive and collectively exhaustive of all possible outcomes. Each market states 'If [outcome], then the market resolves to Yes' — meaning if Al Nassr wins, Market 1 resolves YES; if Al Najmah wins, Market 2 resolves YES; if tie, Market 3 resolves YES. This creates a logical impossibility where exactly one market must always resolve YES, but the group structure implies these are independent markets competing for trader capital.
  • Polymarket: Aligned with proper market design: Polymarket structures three mutually exclusive markets where only one can resolve YES based on the actual match outcome. Market 1 (Al Nassr win) resolves YES only if Al Nassr wins, NO otherwise. Market 2 (draw) resolves YES only if match ends in draw, NO otherwise. Market 3 (Al Najmah win) resolves YES only if Al Najmah wins, NO otherwise. This is standard three-way outcome market architecture: exactly one resolves YES, two resolve NO.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.