TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club
Volume:
$813,582
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Saudi Professional League game, scheduled for Friday, April 3, 2026 between Al Nassr Saudi Club and Al Najmah Saudi Club.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's three markets collectively cover all possible outcomes (Al Nassr win, Al Najmah win, or tie) and each resolves to YES for its respective outcome, creating logical contradiction where exactly one market must resolve YES regardless of result. Polymarket's three markets are mutually exclusive and properly structured: only one can resolve YES based on the actual match outcome. This fundamental difference in market architecture makes Kalshi's group unresolvable as written.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's markets in this group — they contain a logical flaw where all three markets would resolve YES simultaneously for any match outcome, violating basic market design. Polymarket's markets are properly constructed and resolvable. If you hold Kalshi positions, seek clarification from Kalshi support before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi defines three separate YES-resolution conditions that are mutually exhaustive and collectively exhaustive of all possible outcomes. Each market states 'If [outcome], then the market resolves to Yes' — meaning if Al Nassr wins, Market 1 resolves YES; if Al Najmah wins, Market 2 resolves YES; if tie, Market 3 resolves YES. This creates a logical impossibility where exactly one market must always resolve YES, but the group structure implies these are independent markets competing for trader capital.
- Polymarket: Aligned with proper market design: Polymarket structures three mutually exclusive markets where only one can resolve YES based on the actual match outcome. Market 1 (Al Nassr win) resolves YES only if Al Nassr wins, NO otherwise. Market 2 (draw) resolves YES only if match ends in draw, NO otherwise. Market 3 (Al Najmah win) resolves YES only if Al Najmah wins, NO otherwise. This is standard three-way outcome market architecture: exactly one resolves YES, two resolve NO.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.