TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club - More Markets
Volume:
$638,197
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Saudi Professional League match between Al Khaleej and Al Nassr scheduled for March 14, 2026. Markets span both teams to score, total goals over/under at multiple thresholds (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5), and spread betting on margin of victory (1.5 and 2.5 goal differentials).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Spread market framing differs between platforms. Polymarket assigns outcomes to specific teams based on margin thresholds; Kalshi uses symmetric YES/NO conditions for either team achieving the margin. Both measure identical underlying event (final score differential) but present resolution logic differently.Hero Tip:
Both platforms resolve from the same source (slstat.com official final score after 90 minutes + stoppage time). The structural difference is cosmetic: Polymarket's Al Nassr (-1.5) resolving to Al Nassr is equivalent to Kalshi's >1.5 margin market resolving YES. Confirm final score interpretation with your platform's settlement team if margin is exactly at threshold (e.g., 2-0 win). All edge cases (postponement, cancellation, incomplete match) follow identical 50-50 or official-score logic across both platforms.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Spread markets assign resolution to a named team. Al Nassr (-1.5) resolves YES for Al Nassr if Al Nassr wins by 2 or more goals, otherwise resolves to Al Khaleej. Outcome is team-specific. Key Quote: 'This market will resolve to "Al Nassr Saudi Club" if Al Nassr Saudi Club win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Al Khaleej Saudi Club".'
- Kalshi: Spread markets use symmetric YES/NO logic. A single market resolves YES if either Al Nassr wins by >2.5 goals OR Al-Khaleej wins by >2.5 goals. Outcome is binary and applies to either team. Key Quote: 'If Al Nassr wins by more than 2.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes. If Al-Khaleej wins by more than 2.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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