TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Saudi Professional League match between Al Ettifaq and Al Qadisiyah scheduled for April 5, 2026. Markets span spread bets (at -2.5, -1.5 thresholds for each team), total goals over/under (at 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5 lines), and a both-teams-to-score market. Resolution is based on the official final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket uses named-outcome spread markets (e.g., team name as outcome), while Kalshi uses binary YES/NO margin-of-victory events. Both reference the same match and 90-minute window, but the outcome labeling and implicit NO conditions differ.Hero Tip:
Confirm with each platform whether their spread/margin markets are paired (YES/NO) or single-outcome. Polymarket's approach is more transparent for spread traders. Both platforms agree on the 90-minute + stoppage time window and slstat.com as primary source; use this for cross-platform arbitrage checks.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Spread markets use named outcomes (team names). Al Qadisiyah (-2.5) resolves to 'Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club' if they win by 3+, else 'Al Ettifaq Saudi Club'. Over/Under markets use 'Over' and 'Under' labels. BTTS uses 'Yes' and 'No'. Key Quote: 'This market will resolve to "Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club" if Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Al Ettifaq Saudi Club".'
- Kalshi: Margin-of-victory markets use binary YES/NO structure. 'If Al-Ittifaq wins by more than 1.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes.' Implicit NO if condition fails; no explicit outcome labels for teams. Key Quote: 'If Al-Ittifaq wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Al-Ittifaq vs Al Qadsiah professional Saudi Pro League soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 5, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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