TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club
kalshi
polymarket

Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club

Volume:
$443,756

Al Ahli Saudi Club

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 7, 2026

Closed: Mar 6, 1:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Al Ahli Saudi Club

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$347,289
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Al Ahli Saudi

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$28,745
N/A
N/A
$22,064
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Al Ittihad Saudi Club

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35,548
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Al-Ittihad

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,719
N/A
N/A
$12,470
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,775
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,680
N/A
N/A
$3,254
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a professional Saudi Pro League soccer match between Al Ahli Saudi Club and Al Ittihad Saudi Club scheduled for March 6, 2026. Three related markets track the outcome: whether Al Ahli wins, whether Al Ittihad wins, and whether the match ends in a draw. All markets measure the result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation and logical completeness differ between platforms. Kalshi presents all three mutually exclusive outcomes as Yes-resolving, creating an unresolvable state if the game is canceled. Polymarket explicitly handles cancellation asymmetrically: draw market resolves Yes, win markets resolve No.Hero tip: Monitor Saudi Pro League official announcements for any postponement or cancellation. If the game is canceled with no makeup, expect Polymarket draw market to resolve Yes and win markets to resolve No. Kalshi's logic does not clearly address this scenario and may require manual intervention. Trade with caution near the event date.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Presents three mutually exclusive outcomes (Al Ahli win, Al Ittihad win, draw) all resolving to Yes if they occur. No explicit cancellation clause. This creates a logical impossibility if the game is canceled, as the market cannot resolve to Yes (no outcome occurred) or No (all outcomes are defined as Yes). Quote: 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Al Ahli Saudi wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Al-Ittihad wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Three separate markets with explicit cancellation handling. Win markets (Al Ahli and Al Ittihad) resolve No if canceled. Draw market resolves Yes if canceled. This asymmetry ensures all markets have a defined outcome. Quote (Win): 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No.' Quote (Draw): 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.