TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club
Volume:
$443,756
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Saudi Pro League soccer match between Al Ahli Saudi Club and Al Ittihad Saudi Club scheduled for March 6, 2026. Three related markets track the outcome: whether Al Ahli wins, whether Al Ittihad wins, and whether the match ends in a draw. All markets measure the result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation and logical completeness differ between platforms. Kalshi presents all three mutually exclusive outcomes as Yes-resolving, creating an unresolvable state if the game is canceled. Polymarket explicitly handles cancellation asymmetrically: draw market resolves Yes, win markets resolve No.Hero Tip:
Monitor Saudi Pro League official announcements for any postponement or cancellation. If the game is canceled with no makeup, expect Polymarket draw market to resolve Yes and win markets to resolve No. Kalshi's logic does not clearly address this scenario and may require manual intervention. Trade with caution near the event date.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Presents three mutually exclusive outcomes (Al Ahli win, Al Ittihad win, draw) all resolving to Yes if they occur. No explicit cancellation clause. This creates a logical impossibility if the game is canceled, as the market cannot resolve to Yes (no outcome occurred) or No (all outcomes are defined as Yes). Quote: 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Al Ahli Saudi wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Al-Ittihad wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Three separate markets with explicit cancellation handling. Win markets (Al Ahli and Al Ittihad) resolve No if canceled. Draw market resolves Yes if canceled. This asymmetry ensures all markets have a defined outcome. Quote (Win): 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No.' Quote (Draw): 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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