TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Akron Zips vs. Central Michigan Chippewas
kalshi
polymarket

Akron Zips vs. Central Michigan Chippewas

Volume:
$254,943

Akron

 - Kalshi

Akron - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 4, 2026

Closed: Mar 3, 10:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Akron

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$90,951
N/A
N/A
$54,883
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Akron Zips vs. Central Michigan Chippewas

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,309
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -11.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$371
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Central Michigan

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$142,530
N/A
N/A
$89,617
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 160.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,440
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 159.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,342
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a men's college basketball game between the Akron Zips and Central Michigan Chippewas scheduled for March 3, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets track the moneyline winner, point spread (-11.5 favoring Akron), and total points over/under thresholds (159.5 and 160.5).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Akron win and Central Michigan win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating guaranteed payout regardless of actual game result.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline; it is logically broken. Rely on Polymarket's moneyline (resolves to team name), spread, and totals markets, which use standard coherent logic. Always source final score from NCAA.com and verify against the official box score before settlement.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline market states: 'If Akron wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Central Michigan wins...resolves to Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility where both mutually exclusive outcomes map to identical resolution, guaranteeing a Yes payout regardless of game outcome. No coherent settlement mechanism exists.
  • Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to 'Akron Zips' if Akron wins or 'Central Michigan Chippewas' if Central Michigan wins—standard binary logic. Spread resolves to 'Akron Zips' if they win by 12+ points, else 'Central Michigan Chippewas'. Totals (O/U 159.5 and 160.5) resolve Over/Under based on combined score. All markets include postponement (remain open) and cancellation (50-50 split) protocols. Source: NCAA.com final score including overtime.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.