TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AJ Auxerre vs. Stade Brestois 29 - Halftime Result
Volume:
$510
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the halftime result of the AJ Auxerre vs. Stade Brestois 29 Ligue 1 match scheduled for March 21, 2026. Markets track whether Auxerre leads, Brest leads, or the teams are tied after 45 minutes plus stoppage time. The group includes three distinct outcome markets across two platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's halftime result market contains a logical contradiction: all three possible outcomes (Auxerre win, Brest win, tie) are defined to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable and unable to distinguish between outcomes. Polymarket uses three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive resolution criteria.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market structure is broken and unresolvable as written. Polymarket's three-market approach (Auxerre leading, Draw, Brest leading) is the only logically sound framework. Avoid Kalshi exposure on this event group until the condition logic is corrected by the platform.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Market contains three conditions, all resolving to Yes: (1) Stade Brest winner = Yes, (2) Auxerre winner = Yes, (3) Tie = Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where every possible halftime outcome triggers a Yes resolution, making the market unable to differentiate between outcomes.
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes: (1) Auxerre leading at halftime = Yes only if Auxerre scores more goals in first 45 min + stoppage; (2) Draw at halftime = Yes only if teams are tied; (3) Brest leading at halftime = Yes only if Brest scores more goals. Each market resolves No if its condition is not met.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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