TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Air Force Falcons vs. Nevada Wolf Pack
kalshi
polymarket

Air Force Falcons vs. Nevada Wolf Pack

Volume:
$793,351

Nevada

 - Kalshi

Nevada - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 12, 2026

Closed: Mar 11, 8:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Nevada

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$213,773
N/A
N/A
$200,669
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -20.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,242
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -19.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$64
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Air Force

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$532,345
N/A
N/A
$435,132
Settled
No
polymarket

Air Force Falcons vs. Nevada Wolf Pack

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,926
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 141.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,503
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 139.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,242
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 140.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$255
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Description

A college basketball game between Air Force Falcons and Nevada Wolf Pack scheduled for March 11, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET. Markets cover the moneyline winner, point spread outcomes, and combined total points scored.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both Nevada win and Air Force win are stated to resolve to Yes, which is impossible for a mutually exclusive binary event. Polymarket's moneyline resolves correctly to either Air Force Falcons or Nevada Wolf Pack.Hero tip: Avoid trading Kalshi's moneyline until the platform corrects the resolution logic. Polymarket's markets (moneyline, spreads, totals) are internally consistent and use standard resolution mechanics. Focus trading activity on Polymarket for this event group.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline market states: If Nevada wins, resolves to Yes. If Air Force wins, resolves to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where both mutually exclusive outcomes resolve identically, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as written.
  • Polymarket: Moneyline market states: If Air Force wins, resolves to Air Force Falcons. If Nevada wins, resolves to Nevada Wolf Pack. Standard binary logic with clear mutual exclusivity. All ancillary markets (spreads, totals) use consistent final-score-based resolution including overtime.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.