TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Air Force Falcons vs. Nevada Wolf Pack
Volume:
$793,351
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball game between Air Force Falcons and Nevada Wolf Pack scheduled for March 11, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET. Markets cover the moneyline winner, point spread outcomes, and combined total points scored.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both Nevada win and Air Force win are stated to resolve to Yes, which is impossible for a mutually exclusive binary event. Polymarket's moneyline resolves correctly to either Air Force Falcons or Nevada Wolf Pack.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Kalshi's moneyline until the platform corrects the resolution logic. Polymarket's markets (moneyline, spreads, totals) are internally consistent and use standard resolution mechanics. Focus trading activity on Polymarket for this event group.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states: If Nevada wins, resolves to Yes. If Air Force wins, resolves to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where both mutually exclusive outcomes resolve identically, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as written.
- Polymarket: Moneyline market states: If Air Force wins, resolves to Air Force Falcons. If Nevada wins, resolves to Nevada Wolf Pack. Standard binary logic with clear mutual exclusivity. All ancillary markets (spreads, totals) use consistent final-score-based resolution including overtime.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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