TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Utica Comets vs. Toronto Marlies
Volume:
$11,377
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single professional AHL (American Hockey League) game between the Utica Comets and Toronto Marlies scheduled for April 8, 2026 at 10:45 AM EDT. Both Kalshi and Polymarket offer markets on the outcome, with Kalshi presenting a logical contradiction in its resolution criteria.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution criteria contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (Utica win OR Toronto win) resolve to Yes, making the market tautological and unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard binary resolution with explicit edge case handling.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi until the market logic is corrected. The market cannot distinguish between outcomes. Polymarket is the only viable trading venue for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Resolves Yes if Utica Comets wins; also resolves Yes if Toronto Marlies wins. This is a logical contradiction that makes the market always resolve Yes. Key quote: 'If Utica Comets wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Toronto Marlies wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Resolves to 'Utica Comets' if Utica wins; resolves to 'Toronto Marlies' if Toronto wins. Postponed games remain open; canceled games with no makeup resolve 50-50. Key quote: 'If Utica Comets win, the market will resolve to Utica Comets. If Toronto Marlies win, the market will resolve to Toronto Marlies.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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