This event group covers a single AHL (American Hockey League) matchup between the Utica Comets and Hershey Bears scheduled for February 25, 2026 at 7:00 PM EST. Both Polymarket and Kalshi have created prediction markets on the outcome of this game, with resolution tied to the final score including overtime and shootout results.
Kalshi's market has a fundamental logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Utica win and Hershey win) are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket uses correct binary moneyline logic.
Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market is broken and should not be traded. Only use Polymarket for this event. Kalshi's dual-Yes resolution makes it impossible to distinguish between outcomes at settlement.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Correct binary moneyline structure. Utica win resolves to Utica Comets, Hershey win resolves to Hershey Bears. Includes explicit handling for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Final score includes overtime and shootout adjustments (one goal added to shootout winner).
Kalshi: Logically defective. States If Utica wins then Yes AND If Hershey wins then Yes. Both mutually exclusive outcomes map to the same resolution state, creating an unresolvable market. No edge case provisions mentioned.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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