This event group covers a single AHL (American Hockey League) matchup between the Tucson Roadrunners and San Diego Gulls scheduled for February 25, 2026. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this professional ice hockey game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootout rules.
Kalshi's resolution criteria are logically contradictory: both possible game outcomes (San Diego win and Tucson win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable as a binary contract.
Hero Tip:
This is a critical data integrity failure on Kalshi's platform. The market cannot distinguish between the two teams winning. Do not trade on Kalshi. Polymarket's market is properly structured with mutually exclusive outcomes and explicit edge-case rules.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Clean binary winner-take-all logic. Tucson win resolves to Tucson Roadrunners, San Diego win resolves to San Diego Gulls. Postponements keep market open; full cancellations resolve 50-50. Shootout adds one goal to winner's score for resolution purposes.
Kalshi: Contradictory resolution mapping: both San Diego Gulls win and Tucson Roadrunners win are stated to resolve to Yes. This creates logical impossibility—no way to distinguish outcomes or resolve to No.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.