TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Tucson Roadrunners vs. Ontario Reign
Volume:
$370
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single AHL (American Hockey League) regular season game between the Tucson Roadrunners and Ontario Reign scheduled for March 4, 2026 at 10:00 PM EST. Both Polymarket and Kalshi have created prediction markets on the outcome of this game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootouts.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Ontario Reign wins OR Tucson Roadrunners wins) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket's logic is internally consistent and resolvable.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading on Kalshi until the platform issues a clarification or amendment. The market as written cannot be settled. Polymarket's market is tradeable and follows standard binary sports resolution logic.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all structure: resolves to team name of winner, with clear postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) rules. Includes shootout scoring convention (one goal added to winner). Source: theahl.com/stats/schedule.
- Kalshi: Contains logical contradiction: states both "If Ontario Reign wins... resolves to Yes" AND "If Tucson Roadrunners wins... resolves to Yes." This makes the market logically impossible to settle, as both mutually exclusive outcomes cannot both resolve to Yes in a binary market.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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