TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Tucson Roadrunners vs. Manitoba Moose
Volume:
$1,564
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single AHL (American Hockey League) regular season game between the Tucson Roadrunners and Manitoba Moose scheduled for March 23, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing the outcome of this matchup, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootout rules.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both mutually exclusive outcomes (Manitoba Moose win AND Tucson Roadrunners win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market mathematically unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard binary logic (one winner, one loser).Hero Tip:
This is a critical data integrity failure on Kalshi's side. The market cannot settle as written because a single game outcome cannot satisfy both conditions simultaneously. Contact Kalshi support immediately to clarify whether this represents two separate markets, a Yes/No pair, or a drafting error before placing any trades.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Standard binary winner-take-all structure. Resolves to the winning team's name. Includes clear edge case handling: postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Shootout adds one goal to winner's score for resolution purposes.
- Kalshi: Dual Yes-resolution structure with logical contradiction. States both 'If Manitoba Moose wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Tucson Roadrunners wins...resolves to Yes.' No mention of No-resolution condition or edge case handling. This creates an impossible settlement state.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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