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AHL: Tucson Roadrunners vs. Manitoba Moose
polymarket
kalshi

AHL: Tucson Roadrunners vs. Manitoba Moose

Volume:
$1,249

Tucson Roadrunners

 - Kalshi

Tucson Roadrunners - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 22, 2026

Closed: Mar 21, 6:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tucson Roadrunners

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$684
N/A
N/A
$669
Settled
Yes
polymarket

AHL: Tucson Roadrunners vs. Manitoba Moose

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$226
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Manitoba Moose

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$339
N/A
N/A
$337
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a single AHL (American Hockey League) regular season game between the Tucson Roadrunners and Manitoba Moose scheduled for March 21, 2026. Both Polymarket and Kalshi have created prediction markets on the outcome of this matchup, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootout results.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's binary resolution logic contains a fundamental contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Tucson win and Manitoba win) are mapped to Yes resolution, making the market logically unresolvable. Polymarket uses a sound moneyline structure with mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero tip: Avoid trading Kalshi until the platform issues a clarification. The market as documented cannot function—only one team wins per game, but both outcomes resolve to Yes. Polymarket's market is the only reliable venue for this event.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Moneyline market with three mutually exclusive outcomes: Tucson Roadrunners win resolves to 'Tucson Roadrunners', Manitoba Moose win resolves to 'Manitoba Moose', and cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Shootout wins count as one additional goal for scoring purposes.
  • Kalshi: Binary Yes/No market with contradictory resolution logic: states 'If Tucson Roadrunners wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Manitoba Moose wins...resolves to Yes.' Both mutually exclusive outcomes cannot both resolve to Yes in a binary market structure.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.