TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Tucson Roadrunners vs. Manitoba Moose
Volume:
$1,249
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single AHL (American Hockey League) regular season game between the Tucson Roadrunners and Manitoba Moose scheduled for March 21, 2026. Both Polymarket and Kalshi have created prediction markets on the outcome of this matchup, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootout results.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's binary resolution logic contains a fundamental contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Tucson win and Manitoba win) are mapped to Yes resolution, making the market logically unresolvable. Polymarket uses a sound moneyline structure with mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Kalshi until the platform issues a clarification. The market as documented cannot function—only one team wins per game, but both outcomes resolve to Yes. Polymarket's market is the only reliable venue for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Moneyline market with three mutually exclusive outcomes: Tucson Roadrunners win resolves to 'Tucson Roadrunners', Manitoba Moose win resolves to 'Manitoba Moose', and cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Shootout wins count as one additional goal for scoring purposes.
- Kalshi: Binary Yes/No market with contradictory resolution logic: states 'If Tucson Roadrunners wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Manitoba Moose wins...resolves to Yes.' Both mutually exclusive outcomes cannot both resolve to Yes in a binary market structure.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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