TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Tucson Roadrunners vs. Bakersfield Condors
Volume:
$6,950
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single AHL (American Hockey League) matchup between the Tucson Roadrunners and Bakersfield Condors scheduled for April 8, 2026 at 9:30 PM EDT. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this professional hockey game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootouts.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is internally contradictory—both Bakersfield Condors win and Tucson Roadrunners win are stated to resolve to Yes, leaving the No outcome undefined and the market logically unresolvable.Hero Tip:
This is a critical market design flaw on Kalshi. Before trading, request clarification from Kalshi support on whether the Tucson Roadrunners outcome should resolve to No instead. Polymarket's binary structure is sound and resolvable as written.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Winner-take-all binary: Tucson win → 'Tucson Roadrunners', Bakersfield win → 'Bakersfield Condors'. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Shootout adds one goal to winner's score. Source: theahl.com/stats/schedule.
- Kalshi: Defective Yes/No structure: Both Bakersfield win and Tucson win stated to resolve to Yes. No outcome is undefined. This creates a logical impossibility where the market cannot resolve correctly regardless of game result.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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