TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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AHL: Tucson Roadrunners vs. Bakersfield Condors
polymarket
kalshi

AHL: Tucson Roadrunners vs. Bakersfield Condors

Volume:
$6,950

Bakersfield Condors

 - Kalshi

Bakersfield Condors - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 18, 2026

Closed: Apr 9, 12:30 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Bakersfield Condors

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,401
N/A
N/A
$2,948
Settled
Yes
polymarket

AHL: Tucson Roadrunners vs. Bakersfield Condors

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,895
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tucson Roadrunners

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,654
N/A
N/A
$1,402
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a single AHL (American Hockey League) matchup between the Tucson Roadrunners and Bakersfield Condors scheduled for April 8, 2026 at 9:30 PM EDT. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this professional hockey game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootouts.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic is internally contradictory—both Bakersfield Condors win and Tucson Roadrunners win are stated to resolve to Yes, leaving the No outcome undefined and the market logically unresolvable.Hero tip: This is a critical market design flaw on Kalshi. Before trading, request clarification from Kalshi support on whether the Tucson Roadrunners outcome should resolve to No instead. Polymarket's binary structure is sound and resolvable as written.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Winner-take-all binary: Tucson win → 'Tucson Roadrunners', Bakersfield win → 'Bakersfield Condors'. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Shootout adds one goal to winner's score. Source: theahl.com/stats/schedule.
  • Kalshi: Defective Yes/No structure: Both Bakersfield win and Tucson win stated to resolve to Yes. No outcome is undefined. This creates a logical impossibility where the market cannot resolve correctly regardless of game result.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.